Showing posts with label report. Show all posts
Showing posts with label report. Show all posts

Friday, December 16, 2011

eVestment | HFN industry report: October 2011

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eA |HFN industry overview: October 2011

November 22, 2011 with 3,525 hedge fund products, reporting, HFN Hedge Fund aggregated Index was + 2.37% in October and-3.61% YTD 2011 while S and P 500 Total Return Index (S & P) was + 10.93% during the month and + 1.30% YTD.

Hedge fund industry October highlights
• Total industry assets increased approximately 1.01% to $ 2.484 trillion in October. Performance accounted for the majority of the asset increases and net investment flows were negative.
• Equity market exposure was the primary positive performance driver in October. Credit strategies has lagged, but were positive and raw material resources, especially those with high exposure to FX markets brought down the total hedge fund returns.
• The total performance reasons that month came from sectors and policies that were down significantly in Q3 and remains negative for the year, with the exception that the health-focused resources.
• UCITS structured hedge funds dragged the broad industry in October and is-7.15% YTD. UCITS products, virtually aggregated and long/short equity only has consistently crisis management HFN Hedge Fund Long/Short Equity and aggregate indices of 2011.

Shows that defensive positioning of equity focused funds, muted returns from non-irritable credit and relative value strategies and losses from managed futures funds, likely due to long exposures to the US dollar, resulted in overall hedge fund returns significantly lags the massive capital market increase. There are pockets of strong results, but in the months that October is not expected that the industry keep pace with the stock markets.

HFN developed outliers ratio to determine which sectors producing returns outside of their normal ranges. In October, illuminated mortgages relationship, managed futures and fixed income arbitrage strategies sub-sectors abnormally crisis management in October.

Regional benchmarks
A complete reversal from September produced all regional exposure specifications total positive return in October. Emerging market exposure was most positively influenced by the market exuberance with Russia and Brazil focused medium tip.

Funds investing in Russia received an average of 9.80% which reduced average losses in the lower-14.20% YTD. Russia focused fund performance 2011 has been poor, but the funds investing in India and in the MENA region has been worse-21.29% and-15.84%, respectively. After an average of + 6.27% in October, funds investing in Australian markets are only regional exposure are positive in 2011. Funds investing in Japan seems very defensively positioned in October. The group is much equity oriented, but 70% of reporting medium produced negative returns one month after the Nikkei rose + 3.31%.

Monthly access Flow estimates
• Estimated Total hedge fund assets at the end of October 2011 was $ 2.484 trillion, an increase of 1.01% or 25.0 billion dollars from September.
• Performance accounted for an increase of 25.7 billion dollars and investors accounted for a net outflow of 770 million dollars.
• The most important growth/decline (% access change due to investor funding/redemption) was-0.03%, the closest to the flat reading then eA |HFN started tracking monthly flows in 2009.
• In the first 10 months of 2011, investors have put estimated 48.4 billion dollars to the hedge fund industry.

Despite the net outflow from investors in October, third in the last four months, it is more important sharp reversal of trend from Q3 when there were two months above average investor redemptions.

Some sector specific feeds
• The post natural disaster impact of net investor inflows into Japan funds seem to have disappeared. Investors withdrew more than the assigned Japan focused funds in October for the third month in a row and at a rate which has risen in each of the past three months.
• Flows to commodity focused and managed futures strategies jumped in October along with diversified sectors funds, giving defensive positioning from investors.
• Investor's redeemed more than assigned to mortgage related strategies for second month in a row and increased pace in October.
• Funds lies in Asia continued to attract assets in above average in October, but funds investing in Asian markets had their second month of above average outflow. Developments prior to September had been both classifications to attract new assets.

Performance Review
Fixed income (FI) strategies
• The average return of all fixed income focused strategies was + 1.04% in October and + 3.13% for the current year.
• Corporate and emerging market focused funds that performed best during the month, + 2.44% and + 1.57%. Distressed credit funds were + 2.25%, underperforming broadband needy universe that was + 3.01% in October.
• Fixed Income Fund's assets rose 0.23% in month to 671.8 billion dollars, but the increase was solely performance driven. Investors redeemed NET 4.44 billion dollars during the month.

Equity capital (EQ) strategies
• The average return of all equity focused strategies was + 3.90% in October and-5.13% YTD.
• Funds with a bias towards value investing most participated in the equity market rally, rising an average of + 6.46%.
• Equity assets increased approximately 3.15% to 795.6 billion dollars in October, but investors redeemed NET 3.87 billion dollars during the month is still a heightened pace.

Raw materials and strategies for Foreign Exchange (FX)
• Natural resource specific commodity strategies was + 1.90% in October and + 1.94% YTD.
• Agriculture funds was + 2.32% during the month, and metals markets funds returned an average of + 0.71%. The two differ on the basis of YTD returns an average of + 6.94% and-15.43% respectively.
• Funds targeting financial futures and FX markets were both closed in October,-1.58% and-1.85%, respectively.

Summary analysis
October's rally was a sharp reversal of the previous two months trend and subsequently represented the hope that the European sovereign situation would have a resolution in sight with the announcement of the size and scope of the EFSF. Punctuated by Spain's sub par bond auction, November seems to be a return to reality and some of the trends prevailing in Q3, namely weak equity markets and a strong US $. These environments again likely will favor relative performance of the equity strategies in their respective markets, credit strategies will again likely to outperform stocks and global macro managed futures strategies will be mixed, but mostly positive, if they weren't shaken Webcast currency reversal. At this rate, it is likely it will be his second negative year total returns in the last four digits, the first time in its relatively short history.

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eVestment | HFN focus strategy report: financial sector

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Overview: financial sector hedge funds

EVestment |HFN active and inactive databases, performance and information on assets of 89 unique funds investing primarily in the financial services sector. There are an additional 35 funds investing in multiple industries and has explicitly taken note of the exposure of the economy.

The classification is much equity oriented and includes exposure to different subsectors including large and small banks and financial services to businesses, thrifts, insurance, and specialty finance firms. Strategies are primarily long/short, but the event driven, focusing on consolidation is a common theme.

The Angel in a relatively poor performing market, the Group has produced returns and volatility statistics are similar to the broad hedge fund industry in both 2011 and LTM.
• The Group has substantially performed financial sector benchmarks 2011 both in terms of performance (900 + points) and volatility (almost half the standard deviation of monthly).
• Investor sentiment towards financial sector funds has been better than most other sector specific equity funds in 2011, but still far below average in the industry.

The financial sector has become one of the most volatile capital market sectors during the last 12 months. The threat of a large-scale sovereign crisis in Europe together with increased regulation have done in and invest in the sector a challenge. The rest of the report takes a closer look at asset flow and performance trends in the classification to determine sources of benchmark outperformance and measure investor sentiment.

Total asset levels and investors flow trends
eVestment |HFN tracks AUM and publishing time estimates for funds investing primarily in the financial sector. Global hedge fund exposure to the sector can be significantly larger, but tracking impressions of sectors means is not possible at this time.

• Total AUM in funds investing primarily in the financial sector was 15.81 billion dollars at the end of October 2011, a decrease of 2.05 billion dollars or 6.21% through 10 months of the year.
• Investor's redemption net 610 million dollars from the group in 2011 to a core decline 3.59%. This compares with a growth rate of 2.21% for hedge funds industry 2011 core.
• Performance has reduced the financial sector fund AUM estimated 440 million dollars to October; an asset-weighted return of approximately 2.91% compared to-1.63% for hedge funds.
• "Investors have been net redeemers of assets from the financial sector funds in 9 of the last 12 months, but it was the jump in distributions in September.

Despite the above average and sustained total payments from the financial sector hedge funds, have been pockets of investors ' interest in 2011 and has mostly for those funds that performed in 2010. Average net total 2011 for funds returns exceed the Fund's average financial sector 2010 was 7.05 million dollars. Average 2011 flow for those crisis management 2010 was a net redemption 14.27 million dollars.

However, no Fund really doing in 2010 and have a meaningful input 2011 is posting positive returns the current year or returns greater than the average for the group in 2011. A potential positive for AUM will emerge is that there are no large funds have experienced net outflows so far, but also performs very well. It is probably these funds that will attract investments by 2011.

Regional performance trends
Table 5 compares the percentile ranks financial sector funds over the past 12 months based on their declared regional investment aid focus.

• The European sovereign crisis has seriously affected the relative performance of funds investing in the region's financial sector. Proceeds from the Group Global economy also shows high exposure to the European economy.
• The U.S. economy has not only performed the Confederal Group of the European economy by almost 400 bps 2011, they have also performed all focused hedge equity funds and the sum of the hedge fund industry YTD.
The Angel good relative performance, fewer than one-third of U.S. focused financial sector funds are positive in 2011. Those are large, up an average of + about 12%. The task is that the minority has made the right call in the group in 2011 and they have been rewarded.

Financial sector focused Sub Strategies
Figure 9 shows the performance of economy focused medium with stylistic systematic and their relevant broader hedge fund peer groups.

• Financials sector funds invest based on a fusion/event driven, dramatic crisis management their peers during a prolonged period.
• Clean and broad capital market movements has been much affected by macro events overwhelming micro factors, wider event driven and fusion/risk arbitrage has performed long/short equity strategies suggest idiosyncratic factors are blamed for the poor performance of event driven/fusion financial resources.
• Small/Mid CAP funds have performed well compared with the broader financial sector funds. The Group posted better results than long/short equity funds, but crisis management towards sector size independent small/micro cap over a longer time perspective.
• Both biased style groups showed significantly higher volatility compared to the broad economy focused sector funds, but was well below the NYSE financial indices and the S & P 500 TR.

Performance comparison of equity sector
Funds investing in financial records was in the middle of the pack in comparison with other sector specific equity strategies, LTM.

• Perhaps surprisingly, financial sector funds showed the lowest volatility of the preceding 24 months in relation to other sector specific equity funds (based on the annualized standard deviation); natural resources sector topped the list.
• Sector specific equity funds continue to show high strategy correlations, varies between 0.76 (financial resources) to 0.87 (financial to property) since Jan-2009.
• Healthcare focused funds, generally regarded as a defensive sector, has performed all other equity sector groups on the basis of the current year.

Forward
Economy has received much attention since the financial crisis both in terms of the role played and how some companies have performed in a unique environment then. European sovereign debt crisis continues to loom over large parts of the industry and MF Global bankruptcy was reminscent of the risks for 2008. The sector has, however, sufficient diversity both by market cap and industry subsector for managers to efficiently outperform benchmarks. In addition, the sector remains volatile and trading at levels seen in mid-2009, managers can see the possibilities. Downside risks, however, may be close to all time highs as effective assurance is absolutely key.

Although overall performance has shown controlled downside volatility for the group, will many individual economy oriented funds have to show greater resistance to beta-driven losses to stem outflows in the near future. In the intermediate term, secular changes in performance drivers for many funds come from the eurozone crisis, particularly the recapitalization of banks. These events will give the macro backdrop against which subsectors and company specific microeconomic events will challenge. Investors in space should be aware of any funding expectations and plans for management of these factors.

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Sunday, October 30, 2011

eVestment | HFN Industry Report: September 2011

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eA|HFN Industry Overview: September 2011

On October 21, 2011 with 3,168 hedge fund products reporting, the HFN Hedge Fund Aggregate Index was -3.09% in September and -5.58% YTD 2011 while the S&P 500 Total Return Index (S&P) was -7.03% during the month and -8.68% YTD.

Hedge Fund Industry September Highlights
•Total industry assets fell an estimated 2.92% to $2.463 trillion in September. Performance accounted for the majority of the asset decrease and net investor flows were negative for the month.
•Average hedge fund return in Q3 was -5.97% and investors withdrew an estimated net $19.3 billion. These represent the first quarterly loss and net redemption since the financial crisis.
•Falling commodity prices along with volatile equity markets and large losses from emerging market funds weighed most heavily on hedge fund returns in September.
•Fixed income strategies continued to outperform equity funds, the latter posting negative average returns for the fifth consecutive month and falling -9.34% in Q3 vs. -1.39% for FI strategies.
•Mortgage sector funds posted their second consecutive aggregate decline and their worst return monthly since November 2008, however the HFN Mortgages Index was +9.28% through Q3 2011.

High volatility across most major markets was the norm in September caused primarily by the ongoing sovereign crisis in Europe and worries over the size and timing of the EFSF bailout fund. The resulting reduction of exposures to risky assets during the month appeared to benefit FX strategies and funds focused on government bonds. Their aggregate returns were +1.88% and +1.12%, respectively, during the month.

HFN developed the Outlier ratio to determine which sectors are producing returns outside of their normal ranges. In September, the ratio highlighted emerging markets as a sub-sector which was hit particularly hard with their worst performance since October 2008.

Regional Benchmarks
No regional specification produced aggregate positive returns in September. Emerging market exposures were most negatively impacted. Funds investing in Russia lost an average of -13.01% which is bad, but not nearly the -28.20% decline seen in October 2008. Conversely, losses from funds investing in Brazil and China were nearly on par with their declines during the financial crisis. Only funds investing in developed European markets and in Japan lost less than 1% on average during the month, -0.38% and -0.91%, respectively.

Performance from funds investing in developed European markets was relatively good in September. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index was -4.74% during the month compared to the median return from equity strategies focused in the region of -0.95%; the HFN Long/Short Equity Index was -4.14%. Investors continued to withdraw assets from developed Europe funds at an above average rate in September.

Monthly Asset Flow Estimates
•Total estimated hedge fund assets at the end of September 2011 were $2.463 trillion, a decrease of -2.92%, or $74.1 billion from August.
•Performance accounted for a decrease of $59.5 billion and investors accounted for a net outlfow of $14.5 billion.
•The core rate of growth/decline (% asset change due to investor allocations/redemptions) was -0.57%, the second monthly decline of Q3 2011.
•There was a net investor outflow of $19.3 billion in Q3, the first quarterly outflow since Q1 2009. Redemptions were nowhere near the scope of that quarter when the industry lost an estimated $215 billion.

With increased volatility and performance losses emerging, investor flows began to slow in May 2011 and eventually shifted to net redemptions in July. The net outflow in September was the largest since April 2009. Allocations and redemptions have a history of lagging performance by a few months which would indicate net outflows may persist.

Sub-Sector Specific Flows
•Investors withdrew more than they allocated to Japan focused funds in September at a rate above the industry average. Developed Europe focused funds also faced net investor outflows for the fourth month in the last five.
•Emerging markets funds continued to lose assets at an above average rate in September. The group had an estimated $1.8 billion in net redemptions during the month and $4.8 billion in Q3.
•Investors appeared to be reducing exposure to credit strategies during Q3 as redemptions came at a higher rate than that of equity strategies for the first quarter since Q1 2010.
•Fixed income arbitrage and event driven strategies had among the highest rates of net outflow in September. Global macro was among the few strategies with net allocations.
•Asia domiciled funds continued to increase AUM due to net investor flow in September. The region has seen above average growth rates throughout 2011.

Performance Review
Fixed Income (FI) Strategies
•The average return of all fixed income focused strategies was -0.80% in September and +2.37% year-to-date.
•Government bond strategies again performed best during the month, +1.12% and corporate credit strategies were -2.17%.
•Fixed income fund assets fell for the third consecutive month, -2.37% in September to an estimated $676.4 billion. Investors redeemed a net $11.2 billion during the month.

Equity (EQ) Strategies
•The average return of all equity focused strategies was -4.42% in September and -8.68% YTD.
•Energy focused funds were down most, -8.10%, followed by small cap strategies and healthcare funds, -5.88% and -5.21%, respectively.
•Equity fund assets fell an estimated -5.03% to $769.5 billion in September. Investors redeemed a net $4.4 billion during the month.

Commodity and Foreign Exchange (FX) Strategies
•Broad natural resource commodity strategies were -0.53% in September and +0.26% YTD.
•Returns were again varied by sector. Funds investing in metals markets were -13.5% while agriculture funds were +0.03% during the month.
•Funds targeting financial futures again withstood market volatility relatively well, +0.13%, and FX strategies had some of the best overall performance in the industry, +1.88%.

Summary Analysis
The European sovereign debt crisis, operation twist embarked upon by the U.S. Federal reserve, evidence of China’s slowing economy and their housing market topping out were all stated by managers as contributors to the high level of volatility in September. October asset flows will be a good bellwether for the rest of the year as typically outflows would be expected with the continued performance losses. It is possible investors recall the missed opportunities following 2008 and currently invested capital may be more sticky, or new money may come in more quickly. Regardless, 2011 is shaping up to be the second year of annual performance losses on record for the hedge fund industry and investors will be hunting for investments which can match their rising budgetary needs.

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eVestment | HFN Regional Focus Report: Developed Europe

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Overview: Developed Europe Focused Hedge Funds

The eA|HFN active and inactive databases have performance and asset information for 204 unique funds that invest primarily in developed European markets. There are an additional 317 funds which invest broadly across all European markets. The latter may have large exposure to developed markets, but are kept separate to ensure the prior group is a pure representation of developed Europe focused strategies.

•In the midst of the sovereign crisis in the Eurozone, funds investing in developed Europe have performed relatively well in 2011, -4.67% vs. -13.92% of the Stoxx Europe 600, however most lag the aggregate hedge fund industry.
•Investor interest in developed and broad Europe focused funds has been below average. Funds have had an estimated net outflow of $1.8 billion in 2011, or 1.0% of total AUM vs. 2.8% growth for the hedge fund industry.
•On a regional basis, developed Europe focused funds have had the highest rate of combined liquidations and non-responsive fund delistings in the HFN database.

The European sovereign debt crisis has been a slow developing fiscal mess which has severely hurt investor confidence. Hedge funds investing in these markets appear to have been defensively positioned, but there are still pockets of large losses. The remainder of this report will look at the sub-groups of funds investing in the region to see if outperformance of regional equity markets appears to be tactical or if it is more a factor of breadth of strategies and smoothed aggregate performance.

Developments in European Markets and Impacts on HFs
The European sovereign debt crisis has had global market implications, but the effects on European equity markets and hedge funds that focus on them has been direct in terms of relative performance, investor redemptions and liquidations. Following are highlights from the eVestment | HFN database on those funds focused primarily on developed European markets.

•Last twelve month percentile rankings of equity focused developed and broad Europe funds has lagged other developed equity market exposures at all data points.
•Figure 5 illustrates to what extent developed Europe fund performance has tracked the severity of the sovereign debt crisis as characterized by the spread between Greek and German two year sovereign yields. September appears to be another difficult month as the spread nearly doubled and the Stoxx Europe 600 was down almost 10% before the month end rally.
•The eA | HFN database has recorded a 12.4% decline in developed Europe focused funds due to liquidations and non-responsive fund delistings in 2011, nearly double that of broad Asia focused funds and 1.8x higher than North America funds.
•30% of developed Europe funds reporting through August are positive YTD. If September results are similar to August, less than 20% of funds will likely remain in positive territory. Of those reporting through August, 42% are down more than 5%.
•There is virtually no difference in average YTD performance for UCITS structured developed Europe focused funds and those not structured as UCITS.
•Despite above average investor outflows and performance losses, developed Europe focused funds remain larger on average than N. America funds ($212mm vs. $206mm), both of which dwarf the average size of Asia focused funds ($130mm).

There are pockets of positive returns amongst developed Europe focused funds, however no single sub-sector appears to be keeping its head above water. The implication being that positive returns are driven more so by the quality of management than environment. There is a proportional mix of credit, equity and commodity (power markets) funds among those up for the year.

Total Asset Levels
eA | HFN tracks AUM for funds investing across all European markets, including emerging Europe, but has not previously estimated flows for those investing solely in developed Europe. By backing out estimates for emerging Europe we can estimate flows for funds investing solely in developed Europe and broadly across all European markets, the latter being predominantly focused on developed Europe:

•AUM in funds investing across all European markets was estimated at $220.7 billion at the end of August 2011, down from a pre-2008 crisis peak of over $400 billion.
•At the end of August, HFN estimated emerging market Europe fund AUM of $44.8 billion and therefore an estimated $175.9 billion in AUM in funds investing primarily in developed broad European markets.
•Approximately ? of the combined AUM, or $44 billion is invested solely in developed European markets.
•Investors have withdrawn an estimated net $1.8 billion from Europe non-EM focused funds in 2011. This follows net redemptions of $13.3 billion in 2010.
•Redemptions in 2010 began in earnest in May ($10.7 billion net redeemed in May/June 2010) coinciding with the first major spike in European sovereign yields.

The investor flow data paints a very clear picture that investors have been actively reducing exposure to European markets, on an aggregate basis, since the first major fears of a sovereign default in the Eurozone. The rates of redemptions have slowed, but persisted in recent months.

Performance Comparisons by Region/Country
Developed Europe focused funds generally invest across many Eurozone markets; however there are a number of funds which invest either primarily in the U.K., or in Nordic markets. U.K. funds operate almost entirely in equity markets whereas Nordic funds have concentrations of funds trading regional power markets, mortgage bond and the equity markets.

Figures 8 and 9 and the table above show the performance of these funds and their sub-market classifications and performance of other developed country specific hedge fund exposures and equity benchmarks.

•Despite being primarily equity market oriented, U.K. focused hedge funds have performed very well compared to the FTSE 100 Index, however both are in negative territory mostly due to August returns. In September, the FTSE lost an additional -4.93%.
•Nordic equity focused managers have performed very well compared to regional EQ benchmarks. The credit related strategies have fared worse. Performance from these funds has been weighed down by those with leveraged exposure to Danish mortgage bonds.
•Canada focused funds are the only country specific group which has been unable to outperform the relevant equity benchmark in 2011.

Performance by Primary Strategy in Developed Europe
Funds investing in European markets typically fall into one of five primary strategies; Long/Short EQ, Market Neutral EQ, Event Driven, Credit and Multi-Strategy. Figures 9 and 10 and the table on the following page illustrate the relative performance of funds utilizing these strategies in developed European markets to their counterparts operating primarily in other developed market.

•There is a high concentration of funds investing the Danish mortgage market in the developed-only credit group. These funds appear to have suffered after the Basel III proposal determined the bonds would have a limited role in bank holdings as liquidity instruments.
•The classification of broad European credit funds, which have performed more in-line with other developed market credit funds, is more indicative of developed European credit expsure, however their descriptions of regional orientation tend to be more open ended.
•European market neutral equity and event driven strategies have lagged their developed market counterparts by a wide margin in 2011.
•Long/short equity funds have been in-line with North America focused strategies. Asia/Pac long/short funds have performed noticeably better in 2011.

The last page of the report contains full correlations of monthly returns between regional primary strategies and both equity and hedge fund benchmarks over various time frames.

Going Forward
Among the high concentration of equity focused managers in developed European markets, there appears to be a pronounced defensive positioning which has led to the large outperformance during recent market declines. Early indications for September show an average return of -1.38%, compared to a decline of -4.78% in the Stoxx Europe 600, however this may drift lower as more funds report. Combined developed and broad Europe funds are -0.54%.

In the longer term, it is difficult to ignore the consideration that amid this crisis there may be massive value and opportunity being created, similar in concept to the environment mortgage related strategies realized post-2008 financial crisis. The declining rates of net outflows in recent months may be an indication that allocations may be beginning to return in anticipation. Where and when opportunities will be available are obviously the key, but chances are there will be hedge funds at the forefront.

HFN will publish Europe focused fund flows estimates in the both the early performance release due out Tuesday October 11th and in the Monthly Industry Report the week of the 24th.

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Sunday, September 18, 2011

HFN Strategy Focus Report: Statistical Arbitrage

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Overview: Statistical Arbitrage
The HFN active and inactive databases contain over 60 unique fund products with a primary investment strategy focused on statistical arbitrage. The commercial database contains 16 active funds, 2 of which are structured as UCITS. HFN tracks an additional 9 unique funds which focus on volatility arbitrage which have characteristics similar to statistical arbitrage strategies. Performance and Equity Volatility

•Statistical arbitrage funds were +1.72% in July and -1.23% YTD 2011. This compares to +0.37% YTD for equity hedge fund strategies, +4.60% for credit, -0.50% for commodity strategies and +0.72% for the broad hedge fund industry.
•Volatility arbitrage strategies were -0.30% in July 2011 and -1.85% YTD 2011.
•HFN estimates total hedge fund assets invested in statistical arbitrage strategies were $32.43 billion at the end of July 2011.

Statistical arbitrage (stat arb) strategies vary widely in terms of position holding time horizon and style, but the similarity across all of these funds is the fully quantitative nature of trade construction and execution. Position holding periods vary from fractions of seconds where algorithms attempt to find opportunity in market microstructure dynamics, to days or even weeks when the perceived arbitrage opportunities are geared towards mean reversion across similar securities. Lastly, stat arb is often part of larger, multi-strategy platforms which indicates the AUM is spread beyond pure stat arb funds.

Statistical Arbitrage and other Quantitative Fund Characteristics
The aggregated qualitative details of statistical arbitrage strategies in the HFN database give an indication of the collective characteristics of the group in the entire industry.

•There is a larger than average concentration of stat arb funds operating out of Europe than the U.S. Paris in particular is home to a larger than normal percentage of funds.
•Stat arb fund launches peaked in 2007 before stalling during the financial crisis. Launches resumed in 2009 and remained elevated through 2011.
•The average stat arb entity has $317.8 million in strategy assets, compared to the average equity strategy size of $207.8 million and average industry aggregate size of $333.04 million.
•Half of the stat arb funds listed on HFN explicitly denote market neutrality as central to their strategy.

Total Asset Levels and Flows Estimates
Despite the presence of new fund launches stat arb AUM has meaningfully declined since reaching a post crisis peak in early 2010.

•HFN estimates total assets invested in stat arb strategies at the end of July 2011 were $32.34 billion. Early estimates for August show AUM likely increased during the month counter to the broad industry.
•Total AUM has decreased 16% in the first seven months of 2011, or $5.9 billion. AUM decreased 3% in 2010 after climbing to an all-time peak of $42.5 billion in March of that year.
•Performance has reduced AUM an estimated $670 million in 2011 which indicates an asset weighted performance of -1.64%. Comparing this figure to the equal weighted performance of -1.23% indicates larger funds stat arb funds have performed worse than smaller funds in 2011.
•Stat arb investors have withdrawn an estimated $5.3 billion for a core decline of 14% compared to a core increase of 2.5% for the overall industry.

Performance and Equity Volatility
Figure 10 shows the returns of statistical arbitrage funds, relative to equity strategy performance, compared to the VIX. Monthly VIX averages were calculated using daily close figures.

•In relatively volatile environments, measured by monthly VIX over the historical average, statistical arbitrage funds tend to outperform equity strategies. The converse also holds true; in calm environments statistical arbitrage funds tend to underperform equity strategies.
•Since 2002, statistical arbitrage funds outperformed equity strategies by +0.62% on each month the monthly VIX was above its historical mean, on average. Below average monthly VIX showed underperformance for statistical arbitrage funds of -0.72% relative to equity strategies.
•Early 2009 was an exception to this trend, possibly attributable to managers’ beliefs of sustained volatility in the equity markets following the financial crisis.
•The trend is even more pronounced when measured against the change in volatility measured as month over month change in monthly VIX averages. Upward sloping volatility showed a +0.97% (+1.22%) outperformance by statistical arbitrage (volatility arbitrage) funds compared to equity strategies and a -1.22% (-1.38%) underperformance in downward sloping volatility environments.

Going Forward
Although recent media coverage of “black box” strategies may leave statistical arbitrage out of favor with certain investors, contained variance and relatively low correlations to other more common hedge fund strategies (see page 5) make it an attractive option.

Despite recent trends in investor sentiment, the current environment may be a boon to statistical arbitrage funds with investors looking for safe harbors in relative value strategies. Equity markets were volatile in August with upward VIX movement contrasting sharply with recent history. It seems statistical arbitrage funds were better positioned than most showing an early estimate of -0.08% compared to equity strategies posting -4.33% for the month. The coming months will be crucial for statistical arbitrage funds with accurate interpretation of uncertain markets, on an absolute basis and relative to other funds, required to stem the momentum behind further redemptions.

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Monday, September 5, 2011

HFN strategy focus report: Event driven/special situations

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Overview: Event Driven & Special Situations

The HFN active and inactive databases contain nearly 400 unique fund products with a primary investment strategy focused on event driven and special situations. The commercial database contains 225 products, 67% of which are unique with 4 of the unique products structured as UCITS.

•The HFN Event Driven Index was -1.09% in June and +1.42% YTD 2011. This compares to +0.65% YTD for equity hedge fund strategies, +4.06% for fixed income, -2.50% for commodity strategies and +0.39% for the broad hedge fund industry.
•HFN estimates total hedge fund assets invested in event driven and special situations (ED/SS) strategies were $515.41 billion at the end of Q2 2011.
•HFN estimates there were 80 ED/SS funds launched in 2010 against 24 liquidations. There had been a net decline in ED/SS funds the prior two years.

ED/SS strategies focus on a variety of objectives and typically utilize a combination of equity and debt related securities. The majority of special situations funds refer to the same catalysts that event driven strategies exploit which is why the groups have been combined in this report for asset flow and performance measures. In addition to shared catalysts including M&A, spin-offs, regulatory changes, share buybacks, changes in capital structure, etc., the group often also has distressed situations as targets. The remainder of this report breaks down ED/SS classifications to elucidate performance differentials.

Event Driven & Special Situations Fund Characteristics
The aggregated qualitative details of event driven and special situations strategies in the HFN database give an indication of the collective characteristics of the group in the entire industry:

•New York is the most common city in which ED/SS strategies base their operations exceeding the popularity of other cities by a wide margin. This is paralleled by the U.S. being the most common country for operations.
•ED/SS fund launches peaked in 2007, but the group also had the second largest % decline in fund counts during the financial crisis behind fixed income arbitrage.
•The average ED/SS entity has $440.5 million in strategy assets, compared to the average equity strategy size of $203.7 million and average industry aggregate size of $314.4 million.
•While the majority of the current crop of ED/SS funds invest in the entire capital structure, a slightly smaller group focuses primarily on equity investments.

Total Asset Levels and Flows Estimates
Event driven and special situation fund AUM increased rapidly in 2010 following above average performance in 2009. More recently, volatile equity markets appear to have led investors to reduce exposure to the group.

•HFN estimates total assets invested in ED/SS strategies at the end of Q2 2011 were $537.1 billion. Early estimates for July show continued, but muted, performance losses and an uptick in redemptions.
•Total AUM has increased 4.1% in the first six months of 2011, or $21.1 billion. AUM increased 26% in 2010 and 49% in 2009.
•Performance accounted for a $6.9 billion increase and investors added net $14.1 billion in the first half of 2011.
•Despite the influx of assets, the recent trend is negative. In Q2, performance reduced AUM $6.3 billion and investors redeemed a net $4.2 billion.
•The rate of AUM change due to performance has led the ED/SS benchmark through July which is an indication that larger funds (which have a smaller representation) have outperformed smaller funds during the year.

It is not surprising to see rising net redemptions from the group in the last three months. ED/SS funds were one of the earliest to return to net inflows following the financial crisis and had one of the three highest core growth rates in 2010 behind only fixed income and merger arbitrage. Increased volatility in equity markets has negatively influenced allocations to directional equity related strategies and ED/SS funds have been affected. The bulk of net inflows to the group resulting in its rapid post-crisis growth were from June 2009 through May 2010.

Performance by Product Size
Figures 6-8 show returns for ED/SS funds by fund size over the last 24 months (Figure 6) and over the last 5 years (Figures 7-8). Asset groups are defined by fund $AUM at the beginning of the period to best quantify returns by actual fund size at the time of initial interest.

Returns by strategy assets differ slightly. ED/SS entities appear to have a higher concentration of managed accounts and so actual fund size may not be the best indication of the size of an ED/SS operation.

•Mid-sized ($100-$500 million) ED/SS funds outperformed all other asset groups at every percentile ranking. This varies from the industry where smaller funds exhibit the highest upside and the largest funds show the most controlled downside.
•The group, assessed over the last 12 months using assets in strategy, maintained the aforementioned trend. ED/SS entities with over $500 million in strategy assets averaged 9.55% over the LTM while those with assets between $100 and $500 million averaged 14.91%.
•Looking back 5 years, the largest ED/SS funds outperformed smaller funds pre-crisis, but under-performed post-crisis. Contrary to the rest of the hedge fund industry, it was not the smallest ED/SS funds which rebounded fastest post-crisis, rather the mid-size $100-$500mm funds.

Performance by Regional Focus
Figures 9-12 break down the performance of ED/SS funds by their primary regional exposure, or the region in which their event driven strategies are focused.

•Event driven strategies with targeted regional exposures have outperformed each corresponding regional benchmark in 2011.
•In the last twelve months, only event driven strategies with exposures to Australia trailed their regional benchmarks. In the last two years, only Aussie and EM funds have trailed their regional hedge fund benchmarks.
•In the last twelve months, U.S. focused ED/SS funds had the most impressive spread between top 10th percentile and 75th percentile. A/P focused funds had the highest bottom 90th percentile, but failed to produce high top percentile rankings.
•ED/SS emerging markets performance appears to be more beneficial than broad EM exposure in volatile markets (comparing 2011 to the last 2 years which includes the broadly positive second half of 2009), but in no specified time frame has ED/SS emerging markets exposure produced meaningfully better results than ED/SS U.S. exposures.

Performance by Market Sector Focus
Figures 13-14 break down the performance of ED/SS funds by primary industry exposure. For the most part, ED/SS funds do not specify a focus on a particular industrial sector, but those that do tend to focus on the resources/energy, healthcare, finance and technology sectors, in that order.

•In both the last twelve months and YTD 2011 time frames, sector specific exposure appears to have benefited healthcare and natural resource focused ED/SS funds compared to non-sector focused ED/SS strategies. However, only natural resource ED/SS strategies outperformed the average corresponding sector specific EQ fund.
•The average finance sector ED/SS fund has underperformed all relevant comparisons. Looking within the sample, there is one product which has outperformed the average finance sector equity funds in 2011, but performance is still below the average of all ED/SS funds.

With the exception of resources strategies, sector specific ED/SS funds appear to have been unable to outperform their EQ sector specific counterparts. Additionally, outperformance over non-sector specific ED/SS funds seems to be due to sector specific exposures and may not necessarily come from sector specific ED/SS expertise.

Going Forward
There are several factors influencing the outlook for the ED/SS space. Corporations, at least in the U.S., have an increasing amount of cash on their balance sheets. A recent publication of corporate cash balance indicators from the Association of Financial Professionals (AFP)1 showed that more firms had increased the levels of cash on corporate balance sheets both from Q1 to Q2 in 2011 and year-over-year from Q2 2010 to 2011. Additionally, corporate borrowing costs are near the lowest levels in 10 years (but slightly off these lows through August) as seen by Aaa rated corporate rates and the spread between Aaa and Baa rates.

Despite the large amount of cash on hand and low borrowing costs, the current volatile global economic and political climates have likely reduced the attractiveness of deploying cash. Alternatively, sharp declines in equity markets can make share repurchases and takeover targets more attractive. However, neither is likely to be accelerated until volatility declines. This confluence of factors, combined with the rapid increase of AUM in the ED/SS space throughout the end of 2009 and 2010 indicate investors believed an active event driven environment would persist.

For equity oriented investors, outside of market neutral strategies, and despite being in negative territory on average, event driven funds are holding up relatively well. Both equal and asset weighted performance estimates for the last three months through July show that event driven strategies have outperformed equity market indices, the average long/short equity strategy and the aggregate average of all hedge funds. This is a firm indication that amid recent volatility there is still some level of support in the event driven markets.

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HFN industry report: July 2011

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HFN industry overview: July 2011

August 23, 2011 with 3,518 hedge fund products, reporting, were index HFN Hedge Fund total + 0.36% in July and + 0.78% YTD in 2011, while the S & P 500 Total Return Index (S & P) was-2.03% during the month and + 3.87% YTD.

Hedge fund industry highlights July:
• Total industry assets increased approximately 0.26% to $ 2.567 trillion in July. Performance accounted for the majority of asset growth. net investment flows were negative for the month.
• Commodity and FX exposures that the main part of the very positive performance in July. Funds with primary exposure to metals markets returned an average of over 8%.
• Fixed income strategies performed again, equity funds, return the latter posting negative average for the third month.
• Mortgage sector funds continued to produce above average yields and average monthly positive performance for 32 months.
• Japan focused funds posted its second consecutive positive overall results since the natural disaster in March and the Group showed slightly positive in 2011.

Global markets continued on the edge in July ahead of the bad economic and political news from the United States together with the European debt issues continued to spread throughout the region. These negative trends have been positive for certain currencies, including the AUD, CAD, CHF and JPY. Rally on U.S. Treasury markets was a blessing to high yields and EM debt strategies.

HFN developed outliers ratio to determine which sectors producing returns outside of their normal ranges. In July, it was the commodity and FX strategies surprising that positive and equity sector focused (real estate, economy, health care), perform well, worse than average.

HFN regional benchmarks
Funds investing primarily in Russia and Australia tend to most closely track the performance of some commodity markets (energy, agriculture and metals). In July, this resulted in Russia and Australia, producing the best regional results, + 2.39% and + 1.75%, respectively. Funds investing in China and over many regional markets in Asia performed above the average in July, with India is the exception.

The economies of both India and Brazil have faced with high inflation and must be counteracted by increasing certral bank lending rates. For Brazil focused funds, have the result in 2011 poorly performing stock markets, but strong credit markets. Brazilian equity funds returned an average of-3.20% in July and-0.23% in 2011, while fixed income strategies was + 1.90% in July and + 8.93% in 2011.

For the second month, focused Australia funds declined more than any other developed market, falling-3.03% in June. The Group continued to be hurt by the fall in commodity prices and again failed to surpass the ASX under a down month, previously a rarity for Australia focused funds.

Monthly access Flow estimates
• Estimated Total hedge fund assets at the end of July 2011 was $ 2.567 trillion, an increase of 0.26%, or $ 6.8 billion from June.
• Performance accounted for an increase of 20.9 billion dollars and investors accounted for a net outflow of 14.1 billion dollars.
• The most important growth/decline (% access change because investors appropriation/redemption) were-0.55%, the first core decline since June 2010 and the largest since the beginning of 2009.
• Total the notorious AUM still 14% over the historically high in Q2 2008.

NET output in July was a continuation of the trend in Q2 marked three months of declining growth. Despite net outflow and the trend of decline, the industry still took in an estimated 55.0 billion dollar net new award 2011.

Some sector specific feeds
• The flow of assets to Japan focused funds resumed in July, but at a moderate pace compared with two months after the earthquake.
• The need was a jump in redemption from emerging market strategies in July, led by a large net outflow of funds investing in new Europe. Grandmothers focused resources also experienced a net reduction in AUM from investors.
• Commodity strategies had a payout for the second consective month and both capital and credit strategies investors experienced net outflows.
The Angel far above average industry returns in 2011, there was a net redemption of mortgage sector funds in July.
• On a policy level, had the only multi-platform strategy and convertible arbitrage NET investors allocations in July. Regulation d and option strategies, experienced the highest levels of depression.

Performance Review
Fixed income (FI) strategies
• The average return of all fixed income focused strategies was + 0.55% in July and + 4.16% for the current year.
• Emerging credit market strategies done best in July, + 0.87%, followed by mortgage sector funds, + 0.67%.
• Fixed income assets fell 0.82% in July to an approximated 690.5 billion dollars. Investors redeemed NET 7.8 billion dollars during the month.

Equity (EQ) strategies
• The average return all capital focused strategies was-0.29% in July and + 0.25% YTD.
• Natural resource sector funds led all others in July, + 1.42%. Health sector funds performed worst,-0.98%, followed by technology and financial sector funds-0.92% and-0.91%, respectively.
The assets of • Equity fell an estimated-1.06% to 834.8 billion dollars in July. Investors redeemed NET 8.6 billion dollars during the month.

Commodity and foreign exchange (FX) related strategies
• Broad natural resource commodity strategies was + 2.52% in July and + 0.59% YTD.
• Funds that invest in metals markets that went from the biggest losers in June to produce the highest returns in July, + 7.20-%. FX strategies increased an average of + 1.30%. Both groups have given negative average yields this year.
The decline in equity markets, funds targeted at financial futures rose + 2.57% in July.

Summary analysis
Effects of broad market uncertainty materialized in hedge fund flows in June and has been featured with meaningful exchange in July. The decisions to allocate or redeem generally is present or even a month earlier return data indicating Julius redemption is a reflection of May and June performance. Historically tend flows to reverse faster with positive return means August is likely to see net inflows on the back of Julius returns, but there is still a high degree of uncertainty in global markets which should keep inflows turned off.

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Saturday, August 6, 2011

HFN regional focus report: the Middle East and Africa

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Overview: hedge funds invest in MEA

HFN active and inactive databases have performance and asset information for 85 unique funds investing primarily in the region of the Middle East and Africa (MEA). Of these, 59 unique products of the active database. For this report, are resources grouped into one of three classifications for their regional investment focus, the Middle East/North Africa, Pan-Africa and South Africa only.

• South Africa focused funds performed well in 2011 after backlogged 2010 while MENA funds have lagged the rest of the hedge fund industry over the past three years.
• Pan-Africa funds directly the hedge fund industry since becoming a recognizably classification in 2006, but since the beginning of the uprising in Tunisia and Egypt, average performance is almost 6%.
• HFN estimates the total assets in funds that invest primarily in all three regions was 8.78 billion dollars at the end of May 2011 with AUM in MENA strategies narrowly higher than South Africa.

Months after the initiation of the revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt, MENA average fell almost 6% and Pan-African agents decreased more than 6% while South Africa focused funds increased 7%. Themes such as investment in regions vary, obviously, but each face serious headwinds shortly.

The following pages break down the qualitative composition, investors flow trends and performance of MEA focused resources to shed light on the source of their different yields and current investor sentiment against these products.

HFN database composition and its properties
The qualitative features of the Middle East and Africa focused resources in HFN database gives an indication of the dominant characteristics of these products:

• South Africa focused Fund launches was greatest in 2003 and continued in the above average by 2006, but has declined while the liquidations of cow's milk added in 2010.
• Mena Fund launches peaked in 2006 and 2007, followed by the above, average liquidation in 2009. New launches have not been near the pre-2008 prices.
• Pan-Africa funds is a relatively new group, with the launches were originally ursprungshalten 2007 and again reaches a high 2010.
• Compared to MENA focused resources, South Africa and the Pan-African agents had minimal shutdowns after the financial crisis.
• The majority of MENA funds operated by the arab States and South Africa running out in South Africa funds, but the majority of the Pan-Africa funds operated out of London.

Total assets levels
HFN has not historically tracked assets and routes for Pan-Africa and South Africa focused means of MENA. In addition, estimates the AUM below for funds which invest mainly in the regions and the total hedge fund AUM invested in the region. Total AUM hedge fund invested in the region is probably much higher because of the multi-regional emerging market funds, including investing:

• Mena focused funds AUM peaked in Q2 2008 nearly 10 billion dollars. The Summit was concurrent with high total hedge fund industry AUM, while supply decline after the financial crisis was more dramatic and recovery slower. MENA Fund AUM reached a low of less than 4 billion dollars in Q1 2009, and is now only slightly larger.
• Investor reactions to civilian uprising in the MENA region was net redemption 2011. Redemption from MENA focused strategies speeded up in March and April 2011 peaked.
• South Africa focused funds had approximately 3.27 billion dollars in AUM at end of May. Investor redemption passed appropriation during the first three quarters of 2010, but the trend seems to have reversed in 2011, but the growth has been slow.
• Pan-Africa focus Fund AUM reached estimated 977 million dollars at the end of May 2011. Despite good performance relative to industry in 2010, there were net redemption during the year. Core growth in 2011 is 2.8 per cent, which is slightly lower than average in the industry.

Correlation of returns
Figure 6 shows the relationship between monthly for MEA focused funds to other regional and country specific emerging market HFN indices and relevant equity benchmarks for three specified time frames. Information is useful to compare historical relationships and how they have changed.

• South Africa focused funds have historically had a low correlation to the country's stock markets. The ratio has been reversed in the last 12 months.
• Mena focused funds historically had low but positive correlations to other emerging markets and regional equity benchmarks, but these correlations increased and be high after the financial crisis.
• Pan-African Fund correlations have been added during the financial crisis, but has fallen back in recent months, but they still remain above historical levels.
• Mena fund performance resembles most closely that traditional emerging markets, while the Pan-Africa and South Africa funds tend to be less correlated. This illustrates the different growth stories in Africa and the larger emerging markets which are more closely related to the buy-out market influences.

Compared to other emerging markets
The table below, Figure 7 and 8 and the table at the bottom of the report, compare the returns from Mea funds to emerging market hedge fund HFN indices and regional equity indices.

• Since 2001, South Africa focused funds crisis management MSCI South Africa Index during the down months only once, the best against the record in the three groups.
• The average outperformance in the index, with South Africa funds down months since 2001 is more than 700 points. The average underperforming during positive index is slightly worse months than 450 bps.
• In the past two years, South Africa funds have seen their average outperformance in equity benchmark down months decreased and have also seen underperforming during index up months from worsening.
When comparing historical returns the last two years, only MENA resources has continued to produce returns with greater average outperformance in equity index benchmark down months than average underperforming under benchmark up-months.

Middle East and Africa UCITS products and funds of funds
HFN can create benchmarks for further subclassification of MEA products that meet the standards set out in the directive on UCITS funds of funds investing in the region.

Forward
Investors ' interest in funds focused on the markets of the Middle East and Africa have been below average for the year 2011, which is a clear indication investors aren't comfortable with the current social and political climates in the region. Outside of South Africa, has so far shown decision performance wise. In hedge fund space there is a history of the returns covered by investors who recognizes emerging opportunities sooner than the rest. The last known example is in based security after the financial crisis.

There are a number of reports from the Oakland Institute require attention for private investments, including hedge funds and other institutional investors, in soil in Africa with an eye on the development of agriculture. Reports that raises the questions of the extent to which government interests adapt to the local population and to long-term best use of land, but the existence of the research is evidence of potentially profitable opportunities in these markets. Still, there will always be political uncertainty and given the effectiveness of the insurgency in northern countries, there is still a high risk to invest in the region. In addition, it is important to remember that past performance has proven that the MENA and Pan-Africa focused funds showed high correlation to developed markets in times of global stress.

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HFN industry report: June 2011

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HFN industry overview: June 2011

On July 22, 2011 with 3,560 hedge fund products, reporting, HFN Hedge Fund aggregated Index was-1.16% in June and + 0.42% of the current year 2011 while S & P 500 Total Return Index (S & P) was-1.67% during the month and + 6.02% YTD.

Hedge fund industry highlights June:
• Total industry assets decreased approximately 0.91% to $ 2.562 trillion in June. Performance accounted for the majority of the reduction of the supply and net investors funding was a good thing for the month.
• The primary factors that affect performance in may continued in June and downward pressure on raw materials and increased risk aversion hurt CTA/managed futures and equity strategies for the second straight month.
• Fixed income strategies generally performed equity funds, but both groups were down in June. Mortgage sector funds posted returns lowest since November 2008, but the average yield was still positive.
• Japan focused funds posted their first positive overall results since the natural disaster in March. Resources in Japan had the best collection of regional results in June.

Before had may and June, the industry had two losing months in a row since the economic crisis. European debt crisis is likely to have resulted in reduced exposures to risky assets and losses in May and June was the result of this deleveraging. Defensive sectors and volatility strategies have done during the journey. Index HFN healthcare was + 4.10% in the second quarter and the HFN short Bias Index was + 2.80% in June.

HFN developed outliers ratio to determine which sectors producing returns outside of their normal ranges. In June, mortgage-related strategies, but positive on average, had the second lowest average ratio which is an indication that lower levels of gains and losses arise from the group.

China focused medium was the biggest drag on emerging market returns in June and equity EM strategies lost much more than the EM fixed income funds during the month. Exposure to India produced the only positive average regional yields from EM funds in June, + 0.02%, but for the year India funds still lagging all others-9.45%. Brazil is the only EM-group to remain in positive territory through the first half of 2011, + 2.88%.

For the second month, focused Australia funds declined more than any other developed market, falling-3.03% in June. The Group continued to be hurt by the fall in commodity prices and again could not surpass ASX under a month that dun, formerly a rarity for Australia focused funds.

Monthly access Flow estimates
• Estimated Total hedge fund assets at the end of June 2011 was $ 2.562 trillion, a fall of 0.91% or $ 23.6 billion in May.
• Performance accounted for a reduction of 28.1 billion dollar and investors accounted for a net inflow of 3.99 billion dollars.
• The core (% access change due to investor funding/redemption), growth was 0.17%, a decline in growth for the second month and second slowest growth rate in the past 12 months.
• Overall, the notorious AUM is now 15% during the historically high as in the second quarter of 2008.

The trend in Q2 was three months of declining growth. While investors continued to allocate more than was redeemed, moderated off. For the quarter investors to an estimated net 32.4 billion dollars for the year, a net of 75.3 billion dollars. This is much larger than either the first or second halves of 2010.

Some sector specific feeds
• The uptick in flows into Japan focused funds for the two months (April/May) after the disaster in March ended in June and the Group had little net outflows during the month.
•Insert the two months of net outflows, there was an increase in funds to funds investing in Latin America, while Eastern European focused funds continued the trend of redemption.
• For the first month of the last seven trading be focused funds had net redemption while credit strategies continued to grow at a higher rate than equity strategies.
The Angel's second consecutive month of higher than average loss, investors funding for tech sector funds continued in above average.
• Market neutral equity funds had the highest proportion of inflows strategy special in June and statistical arbitrage strategies suffered greater than average redemption.

Performance Review
Fixed income (FI) strategies
• The average return of all fixed income focused strategies was-0.18% in June and + 3.69% this year.
• Government bond strategies done best in June, + 0.41%. Mortgage strategies was the only other positive group + 0.10%. All other classifications to fixed income was down in June.
• Fixed Income Fund's assets increased 0,51% in June to an approximated 696.6 billion dollars. Investors to net 4.1 billion dollars during the month.

Equity capital (EQ) strategies
• The average return in all equity focused strategies was-1.13% in June, + 0.56% YTD.
• Short bias funds led all others in June, + 2.80%. Natural resource sector funds was at the other end of the spectrum,-3.10%.
Assets of • Equity fell an estimated-1.05% to 843.6 billion dollars in June. Investors that have been assigned a net 690 million dollars, the second lowest total in 2011.

Commodity and foreign exchange (FX) related strategies
• Broad natural resource commodity strategies was-2.56% in June and-2.34% YTD.
• Funds which invest in metals markets lost most in June-7.20-%. FX strategies followed their worst month since 2003 with another down month-0.66%, leaving Group-1.99% YTD.
• Agriculture sector funds led the sector commodity group, but were still down in June,-0.52%.

Summary analysis
Effects of broad market uncertainty seems to have finally materialized in the hedge fund flows in June. It is important to remember that an investor's decision to award or redeem General lag current or even a month earlier return data indicating June flows was evidence for increasing caution two or three months before. Given this scenario, probably it will be a slow start to the second half of 2011 in industry growth.

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Tuesday, July 12, 2011

HFN regional focus report: the Middle East and Africa

Click here to read the full report.

Overview: hedge funds invest in MEA

HFN active and inactive databases have performance and asset information for 85 unique funds investing primarily in the region of the Middle East and Africa (MEA). Of these, 59 unique products of the active database. For this report, are resources grouped into one of three classifications for their regional investment focus, the Middle East/North Africa, Pan-Africa and South Africa only.

• South Africa focused funds performed well in 2011 after backlogged 2010 while MENA funds have lagged the rest of the hedge fund industry over the past three years.
• Pan-Africa funds directly the hedge fund industry since becoming a recognizably classification in 2006, but since the beginning of the uprising in Tunisia and Egypt, average performance is almost 6%.
• HFN estimates the total assets in funds that invest primarily in all three regions was 8.78 billion dollars at the end of May 2011 with AUM in MENA strategies narrowly higher than South Africa.

Months after the initiation of the revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt, MENA average fell almost 6% and Pan-African agents decreased more than 6% while South Africa focused funds increased 7%. Themes such as investment in regions vary, obviously, but each face serious headwinds shortly.

The following pages break down the qualitative composition, investors flow trends and performance of MEA focused resources to shed light on the source of their different yields and current investor sentiment against these products.

HFN database composition and its properties
The qualitative features of the Middle East and Africa focused resources in HFN database gives an indication of the dominant characteristics of these products:

• South Africa focused Fund launches was greatest in 2003 and continued in the above average by 2006, but has declined while the liquidations of cow's milk added in 2010.
• Mena Fund launches peaked in 2006 and 2007, followed by the above, average liquidation in 2009. New launches have not been near the pre-2008 prices.
• Pan-Africa funds is a relatively new group, with the launches were originally ursprungshalten 2007 and again reaches a high 2010.
• Compared to MENA focused resources, South Africa and the Pan-African agents had minimal shutdowns after the financial crisis.
• The majority of MENA funds operated by the arab States and South Africa running out in South Africa funds, but the majority of the Pan-Africa funds operated out of London.

Total assets levels
HFN has not historically tracked assets and routes for Pan-Africa and South Africa focused means of MENA. In addition, estimates the AUM below for funds which invest mainly in the regions and the total hedge fund AUM invested in the region. Total AUM hedge fund invested in the region is probably much higher because of the multi-regional emerging market funds, including investing:

• Mena focused funds AUM peaked in Q2 2008 nearly 10 billion dollars. The Summit was concurrent with high total hedge fund industry AUM, while supply decline after the financial crisis was more dramatic and recovery slower. MENA Fund AUM reached a low of less than 4 billion dollars in Q1 2009, and is now only slightly larger.
• Investor reactions to civilian uprising in the MENA region was net redemption 2011. Redemption from MENA focused strategies speeded up in March and April 2011 peaked.
• South Africa focused funds had approximately 3.27 billion dollars in AUM at end of May. Investor redemption passed appropriation during the first three quarters of 2010, but the trend seems to have reversed in 2011, but the growth has been slow.
• Pan-Africa focus Fund AUM reached estimated 977 million dollars at the end of May 2011. Despite good performance relative to industry in 2010, there were net redemption during the year. Core growth in 2011 is 2.8 per cent, which is slightly lower than average in the industry.

Correlation of returns
Figure 6 shows the relationship between monthly for MEA focused funds to other regional and country specific emerging market HFN indices and relevant equity benchmarks for three specified time frames. Information is useful to compare historical relationships and how they have changed.

• South Africa focused funds have historically had a low correlation to the country's stock markets. The ratio has been reversed in the last 12 months.
• Mena focused funds historically had low but positive correlations to other emerging markets and regional equity benchmarks, but these correlations increased and be high after the financial crisis.
• Pan-African Fund correlations have been added during the financial crisis, but has fallen back in recent months, but they still remain above historical levels.
• Mena fund performance resembles most closely that traditional emerging markets, while the Pan-Africa and South Africa funds tend to be less correlated. This illustrates the different growth stories in Africa and the larger emerging markets which are more closely related to the buy-out market influences.

Compared to other emerging markets
The table below, Figure 7 and 8 and the table at the bottom of the report, compare the returns from Mea funds to emerging market hedge fund HFN indices and regional equity indices.

• Since 2001, South Africa focused funds crisis management MSCI South Africa Index during the down months only once, the best against the record in the three groups.
• The average outperformance in the index, with South Africa funds down months since 2001 is more than 700 points. The average underperforming during positive index is slightly worse months than 450 bps.
• In the past two years, South Africa funds have seen their average outperformance in equity benchmark down months decreased and have also seen underperforming during index up months from worsening.
When comparing historical returns the last two years, only MENA resources has continued to produce returns with greater average outperformance in equity index benchmark down months than average underperforming under benchmark up-months.

Middle East and Africa UCITS products and funds of funds
HFN can create benchmarks for further subclassification of MEA products that meet the standards set out in the directive on UCITS funds of funds investing in the region.

Forward
Investors ' interest in funds focused on the markets of the Middle East and Africa have been below average for the year 2011, which is a clear indication investors aren't comfortable with the current social and political climates in the region. Outside of South Africa, has so far shown decision performance wise. In hedge fund space there is a history of the returns covered by investors who recognizes emerging opportunities sooner than the rest. The last known example is in based security after the financial crisis.

There are a number of reports from the Oakland Institute require attention for private investments, including hedge funds and other institutional investors, in soil in Africa with an eye on the development of agriculture. Reports that raises the questions of the extent to which government interests adapt to the local population and to long-term best use of land, but the existence of the research is evidence of potentially profitable opportunities in these markets. Still, there will always be political uncertainty and given the effectiveness of the insurgency in northern countries, there is still a high risk to invest in the region. In addition, it is important to remember that past performance has proven that the MENA and Pan-Africa focused funds showed high correlation to developed markets in times of global stress.

Click here to read the full report.

Saturday, June 25, 2011

HFN industry report: May 2011

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HFN industry overview: May 2011

On June 21, 2011 with 3,235 hedge fund products, reporting, HFN Hedge Fund aggregated Index was-1.06% in May and + 1.62% of the current year 2011 while S & P 500 Total Return Index (S & P) was-1.13% during the month and + 7.82% YTD.

Hedge fund industry highlights may:
• Total industry assets decreased approximately 0.79% to $ 2.586 trillion in May. Performance accounted for the majority of the reduction of the supply and net investors funds were positive for 11th month.
Sv?ltf?dda performance drivers in April reversed in May with losses manifest in CTA/managed futures strategies together with energy and technology focused equity funds.
• Credit strategies generally performed the rest of the industry, led again by mortgage funds, but gains were also some EM interest in markets and short European sovereign debt.
• Japan focused funds was down for the third straight month, and has lost nearly 5 percent on average since the earthquake in March.

The sharp turnaround of the US dollar and the slide in commodity prices were the most obvious indicators of a global reduction in exposure to risky assets during the month. Despite the overall capital market image were pockets of strong returns for hedge funds in the health sector and positive performance, albeit small, for small/micro cap related strategies. Mortgage funds continued to produce positive returns and, together with health funds is the only strategy/sector groups that have performed the S & P 2011.

HFN developed outliers ratio to determine which sectors producing returns outside of their normal ranges. In may, it was the tech sector, CTA/managed futures and global macro strategies produce abnormally negative total returns.

HFN regional benchmarks
Emerging market shares related returns, mainly Russia and India focused strategies, was the biggest drag over EM returns in May while all emerging market regional exposure produced negative average yield, was EM debt strategies positive for that month. Index HFN emerging markets are barely positive during the year, + 0.12%, the lowest level through the first five months of the year since 2008 and the second as the lowest since the Russian financial crisis in 1998.

Australia focused funds declined more than any other developed market in may, falling-2.28% during the month. The Group seemed to have ridden the wave of rising commodity prices by late 2010, but suffered during the sell off in may, the Group has performed ASX indexes, even in the months after the index has risen, but losses in may reflected ASX downturn.

Monthly access Flow estimates
• Estimated Total hedge fund assets at the end of May 2011 was $ 2.586 trillion, a decrease of 0.79% or 20.5 billion dollars from April.
• Performance accounted for a decrease of 31.9 billion dollars and investors accounted for a net inflow of 11.4 billion dollars.
• The core (% access change due to investor funding/redemption), growth was 0.44%, a reduction from April and only slightly over the previous 12-month average.
• Overall, the notorious AUM is now 14% over the historic high in Q2 2008.

NET flow information investors continue to show interest to invest directly into hedge funds, a trend which has continued for several months. Despite decreasing core share growth showed may the 11th straight month inflows of net appropriation. Monthly total assets decline was only the fourth since April 2009, the last month of massive redemption inflows after the crisis.

Some sector specific feeds
• Investor appear to believe there is profits investing in Japanese markets. NET investment flows into Japan focused hedge funds has been above average in the industry over the past two months.
• Commodity focused funds led the inflow of investment market in may, followed by four classifications of debt. Flows into the mortgage, convertibles, sovereign and corporate bond funds gone equity fund flows.
• Funds investing primarily in European markets have experienced significant fluctuations in the investors ' interest. In April, but inflows jumped in may for more money left than was allocated, which had been the trend for several months until April.
• Money laundering continued to flow onto the technical sector funds, although the total outsized losses during the month. Health strategies also saw a blip of positive money flows.

Performance Review
Fixed income (FI) strategies
• The average return of all fixed income focused strategies was + 0.43% in May and + 3.63%-years.
• Mortgage funds done best in may, + 1.52% while distressed strategies posted moderate declines,-0.23%.
• Fixed Income Fund's assets increased 1.17% in may for an estimated 693.1 billion dollars. Investors to net 5.1 billion dollars during the month.

Equity capital (EQ) strategies
• The average return in all equity focused strategies was-0.84% in May and + 1.15% YTD.
• Funds investment in the health sector shares had the best results, + 1.54%, followed by those who invest in small/micro cap issues, + 0.29%. Energy sector funds had the most difficult month,-2.43%.
Assets of • Equity fell approximately 0.71% to 852.5 billion dollars in may, Investors allocated a net $ 1.9 billion, a decline from April and during the previous 12-month average.

Commodity and foreign exchange (FX) related strategies
• Broad natural resource commodity strategies was-3.28% in May and-0.16% YTD.
• Funds which invest in FX markets gave back most of April's profits, 2.45% and is now-1.01% for the year.
• Only agriculture funds had total profits in may, + 1.51% and funds investing in metals markets fell most,-3.53%.

Summary analysis
The influx of capital, money is flowing into hedge funds has continued in the above average pace, be a vote to the lack of confidence in direct investments in traditional markets. The vast majority of stock markets has negative territory in June, Greek debt crisis, the European credit markets are at a point in constant change and commodity prices are mixed with energy prices continue to decline. These factors point to another difficult month for total hedge fund returns, but it may be the second consecutive month when industry superior broad equity markets.

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HFN focus strategy report: FX strategies

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Overview: FX strategies

HFN active and inactive databases contains over 200 unique Fund products with a primary investment strategy which focused on foreign exchange markets. Commercial database contains 96 products, of whom 68% are unique with 6 unique products structured as UCITS. This report creates the HFN HFN FX Index to compare these funds.

• The HFN FX Index was + 2.37% in April and + 1.76% of the current year 2011. This compares to + 3.07% YTD for equity hedge fund strategies, + 3.59% for fixed income strategies and + 2.78% for the broad hedge fund industry.
• HFN estimates total hedge fund assets invested in FX strategies was 51.6 billion dollars at the end of the first quarter of 2011.
• April performance from FX strategies was best for more than five years, but early indications for can view group lost most, if not all April's profits.

Performance from FX strategies in April and may enter the aggregated positions from the Group were negative on the US dollar. Of the relationship between monthly FX strategies into one United States dollar vs. basket of currencies index over the past two years was-0.62. There are, however, in the FX universe a diversity of strategies that enable an aggregation of return flows a comprehensive picture of individual success and failure. The rest of the report breaks down FX Strategy ratings to give a better perspective on the returns generated by this sector hedge fund industry.

FX Fund properties
The aggregated qualitative details of FX strategies in HFN database gives an indication of the collective characteristics of FX strategies for the entire industry:

• London is the most common city where FX strategies base its operations; but the majority of FX funds exist in the United States with New York and Chicago's leading locations for Boston.
• The average FX entity has 228.5 million dollars in assets strategy, compared with the average equity strategy 196.5 million dollars and fixed average income strategy size of 443.5 million dollars.
• The majority of the current crop of FX and credit resources was initiated in 2008 while equity fund launches reached the end of 2006 and 2007.
• London and the rest of Europe has a higher concentration of quantitative based FX strategies in the United States, Boston and Chicago have more discretionary based strategies than New York.

Total asset levels and flows estimates
HFN has historically not broken out total asset levels and flows of funds investing primarily in FX strategies. For this report, estimates have been made from FX Fund in HFNS major asset flow test.

• HFN estimates total assets invested in FX strategies at the end of the first quarter of 2011 was 51.6 billion dollars. Total AUM has changed much over the last nine months (since the previous report).
• Performance has increased AUM an estimated $ 580 mm while net investor flows have been negative.
• Investor's represented a net outflow of over $ 700 mm from FX strategies over the last nine months until the first quarter of 2011. Broad hedge fund industry had a net inflow of 110 billion dollars in the same timeframe.
• Early estimates for April indicated meaninful inflow, but performance can lead to a further redemption.

Investors flow data end of 2010, indicated increased interest in FX strategies, but redemption 2011 has so far indicated investors have not been satisfied with the performance. Var asset weighted return for FX strategies + 1.13% in the nine months ending Q1 2011 compared with + 10.20% for the broad hedge fund industry in the same time frame.

Performance by product size and strategy Figure 5 shows the annualized returns for the past 24 months, ranked by percentile for FX strategies compared to several other primary market hedge fund ratings. Asset groups are defined by the Fund $ AUM at period early period to best quantify returns of actual fund size. Figure 6 shows the rolling yields for quantitative vs. discretionary funds.

Of the strategy assets varies a bit. FX devices seem to have a higher concentration of managed accounts, and so actual fund size may not be the best indication of the size of a FX operation.

• Smaller FX funds had a slightly higher median income than larger funds, but larger funds (> $ 100 mm) were meaningfully higher top percentile returns.
• Large FX strategies (or "assets in the strategy ') performed relatively well over the last twelve months (LTM) and current year 2011.
• The FX units, through the strategy AUM, with more than 1 billion dollars, an average of + until 4.45% in LTM and + 5.47.% in 2011. both of the broad hedge fund industry aggregated returns.
• Based on the sectors means that use FX strategies, primary or secondary, it appears that FX Strategy exposure in General has been a drag on performance.
• In recent terms, do not have a meaningful difference between quantitative and discretionary FX strategies, but in the longer term, resources that make it possible for a discretionary power has done better.

Forward
HFN has done studies on investor flow trends and the lining investors chase returns. The Data also show the tendency to get rewarded for chasing yield and rewarded for use from the resources crisis management, at least in the years since the financial crisis. For FX strategies shows the first part of the trend to hold true.

Medium reporting full access streams to HFN who had negative returns 2010 had an average of 19 million dollars cashed in the past nine months and on average 4 million dollars for the year 2011. Those who performed the hedge fund industry 2010 had average net inflows of $ 26.1 million in the last nine months and 10 million dollars for the year 2011. Investors seemed to take a decent decision and. The Group at the bottom is-0.12% in 2011, while the top group is + 3.73%

What this means for FX strategies as a whole, but are not necessarily positive. Given the relatively poor aggregated performance 2011 (only one third of FX funds have performed industry 2011 through April, a figure that is likely to be reduced in May) strategy is likely to reduce in size with money flowing to a select group.

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Wednesday, June 15, 2011

HFN strategy focus report: FX strategies

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?versikt: FX strategier

HFN aktiv och inaktiv databaser inneh?ller ?ver 200 unika fonden produkter med en prim?r investeringsstrategi som fokuserade p? valutamarknaderna. Kommersiella databasen inneh?ller 96 produkter, 68% som ?r unikt med 6 unika produkter strukturerad som fondf?retag. F?r denna rapport skapas HFN HFN FX Index att j?mf?ra dessa medel.

•Den HFN FX Index var +2.36% i April och +1.76% innevarande ?r 2011. Detta kan j?mf?ras med +3.07% YTD f?r eget kapital Hedgefond strategier, +3.59% f?r fasta inkomster strategier och +2.78% f?r bred hedgefonder.
•HFN uppskattar totala Hedgefond tillg?ngar investeras i FX strategier var 51,6 miljarder dollar i slutet av f?rsta kvartalet 2011.
•April prestanda fr?n FX strategier var b?st i mer ?n fem ?r, men tidigt indikationer f?r kan visa gruppen f?rlorat de flesta, om inte alla Aprils vinster.

Prestanda fr?n FX strategier i April och maj visar de aggregerade st?ndpunkterna fr?n gruppen var negativa p? US-dollarn. Av sambandet mellan m?natliga resultat av FX strategier till amerikanska dollar vs. korg av valutor index under de senaste tv? ?ren var-0.62. Det finns dock inom FX universum en m?ngfald av strategier som g?r en aggregering av returnera str?mmar en helt?ckande bild av enskilda lyckade och misslyckade. Resten av bet?nkandet bryter ner FX strategi klassificeringar till ger ett b?ttre perspektiv p? returnerar skapas genom denna underavdelning av hedgefonder.

FX fondens egenskaper
Aggregerade kvalitativa Detaljer FX strategier i HFN databasen ge en indikation av de kollektiva egenskaperna av FX strategier f?r hela industrin:

•London ?r den vanligaste staden d?r FX strategier basera sin verksamhet. men majoriteten av FX medel finns i USA med New York och Chicago p? ledande platser i Boston.
•Den genomsnittliga FX entitet har 228.5 miljoner dollar i strategin tillg?ngar, j?mf?rt med den genomsnittligt eget kapital strategi 201.2 miljoner dollar och fasta medelinkomsten strategi storlek p? 443.5 miljoner dollar.
•Den majoriteten av den aktuella gr?dan av FX och kredit inleddes i 2008 medan eget kapital fond lanserar n?dde slutet 2006 och 2007.
•London och resten av Europa har en h?gre koncentration av kvantitativa baserat FX strategier i USA, Boston och Chicago har mer sk?nsm?ssiga baserade strategier ?n New York.

Totala tillg?ngar niv?er och fl?den uppskattningar
HFN har historiskt sett inte brutit ut totala tillg?ngar niv?er och fl?den f?r medel som fr?mst investerar i FX strategier. F?r detta bet?nkande, har uppskattningar gjorts fr?n FX fonderna inom HFNS stora tillg?ngar fl?de provet.

•HFN uppskattar totala tillg?ngar investeras i FX strategier i slutet av f?rsta kvartalet 2011 var 51,6 miljarder dollar. Totala AUM har f?r?ndrats mycket under de senaste nio m?naderna (sedan f?rra rapporten).
•Performance har ?kat AUM en uppskattad $580 mm medan fl?den som netto investerare har varit negativa.
•Investors utgjorde ett netto utfl?de av drygt $700 mm fr?n FX strategier under de senaste nio m?naderna fram till f?rsta kvartalet 2011. Bred Hedgefond industrin hade ett netto infl?de av 110 miljarder dollar i den samma tidsramen.
•Early uppskattar f?r April anges meaninful infl?de. men kan prestanda leda till ytterligare inl?sen.

Investerare fl?desdata slutet av 2010 anges ?kat intresse FX strategier, men inl?sen 2011 har hittills angivit investerare inte har varit n?jda med prestanda. Var tillg?ngen v?gd avkastning FX strategier f?r +1.13% i de nio m?nader som slutar f?rsta kvartalet 2011 j?mf?rt med +10.20% f?r den breda Hedgefond industrin inom samma tidsram.

Prestanda genom produktens storlek och strategi Figur 5 visar annualized avkastning under de senaste 24 m?naderna, rangordnade efter percentil f?r FX strategier j?mf?rt med flera andra prim?ra marknaden Hedgefond klassificeringar. Anl?ggningstillg?ngsgrupper definieras av fonden $AUM vid perioden b?rjan av perioden att kvantifiera b?st avkastning genom faktiska fondens storlek. Figur 6 visar rullande avkastning f?r kvantitativa vs. diskretion?ra medel.

Av strategin tillg?ngar skiljer sig n?got. FX enheter verkar ha en h?gre koncentration av hanterade konton och s? verklig fondens storlek kanske inte den b?sta uppgiften om storleken p? en FX operation.

•Smaller FX medel hade en n?got h?gre medianv?rde avkastning ?n st?rre fonder, men st?rre fonder (>$ 100 mm) hade ett meningsfullt s?tt h?gre ?versta percentil avkastning.
•Large FX strategier ("tillg?ngar i strategi") har utf?rt relativt v?l under de senaste tolv m?naderna (LTM) och innevarande ?r 2011.
•Den FX enheter, genom strategin AUM, med mer ?n 1 miljard dollar returneras ett genomsnitt p? +16.45 procent i LTM och +5.47% under 2011. b?de ?ver den breda Hedgefond industrin samlade returnerar.
•Based om de sektorer medel som anv?nder FX strategier prim?rt eller sekund?rt, visas det att FX strategi exponering i allm?nhet har varit en dra p? prestanda.
•In senaste termer, inte har en betydelsefull skillnad mellan kvantitativa och diskretion?ra FX strategier, men p? l?ngre sikt, medel som g?r det m?jligt f?r en sk?nsm?ssig inflytande har gjort b?ttre.

Fram?t
HFN har gjort unders?kningar av investerare fl?de trender och bevisen visar investerare chase returnerar. Data visar ocks? de tenderar att f? bel?nad f?r jagar avkastning och bel?nad f?r anv?nda fr?n medel som krishanteringen, ?tminstone under ?ren efter den finansiella krisen. FX strategier verkar den f?rsta delen av trenden h?ller.

Medel rapportering fullst?ndig tillg?ng str?mmar till HFN som hade negativa returnerar 2010 har haft ett genomsnitt p? 19 miljoner dollar l?ses in i de senaste nio m?naderna och i genomsnitt 4 miljoner dollar ?r 2011. De som visade b?ttre resultat ?n den Hedgefond industrin 2010 hade genomsnittliga netto infl?den av 26,1 miljoner dollar under de senaste nio m?naderna och 10 miljoner USD 2011. Investerare har dykt upp anst?ndigt beslut samt. Gruppen l?ngst ned ?r-0.12% 2011 medan den ?versta gruppen ?r +3.73%

Vad detta betyder f?r FX strategier som helhet, men ?r inte n?dv?ndigtvis positivt. Med tanke p? de relativt d?liga aggregerade prestandan 2011 (endast en tredjedel av FX medel har visade b?ttre industrin 2011 genom April, en siffra som sannolikt kommer att minska i maj om resultat ?n) strategin kommer sannolikt att minska i storlek med pengar till en utvald grupp.

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Monday, June 13, 2011

HFN industry report: April 2011

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HFN industry overview: April 2011

May 31, 2011 with 4,117 hedge fund products, reporting, HFN Hedge Fund aggregated Index was + 1.42% in April and + 2.79% the year 2011, while the S & P 500 Total Return Index (S & P) was + 2.96% during the month and + 9.06% YTD.

Hedge fund industry highlights April:
• Total industry assets increase estimated at 2.26% to $ 2607 trillion in April. Performance accounted for the majority of the asset increases and net investors funds were positive for the 10th month.
• A falling US dollar and higher energy and precious metals resulted in strong results from foreign currency and natural resource strategies in April.
• Healthcare funds presented best equity market sector-oriented performance in April followed by the technology funds. Despite rising energy prices, energy sector fund equity returns below average.
• Japan focused funds again was negative during the month, Japan Index was 0,74% in April and 0.66% YTD.

CTA/managed futures and global macro strategies were the primary beneficiaries of the US dollar plunge into other major currencies, together with the increase of gold and almost 30% collection in silver prices. However, bond falling yield on United States's 10-year note, wounded several funds focused on Government related strategies. The Group was-0.02% in April to a few strong return from funds focused on EM sovereign credits.

HFN developed outliers ratio to determine which sectors producing high or low earnings outside of their normal ranges. Surprisingly, in April, mortgage focused funds had the lowest average ratio despite HFN Mortgage Index increases + 1.49%. Health care, the CTA, macro, technology and fusion arbitrage funds all had over average conditions in April. Convertible and credit arbitrage, along with mortgage strategies all had low numbers.

HFN regional benchmarks
Emerging market strategies again outperformed developed market focused resources in April, led by those investing in Brazil and China returned an average of + 2.34% and + 2.13%, respectively. Russia focused funds fell in the month,-1.54%, but is still the best regional classification 2011, + 4.38%.

Japan funds continued to struggle in the aftermath of the March natural disaster covered by 0,74% in April, while the Nikkei dropped + 0.97%. Japan funds lost an average of-5.30% over the last two months, driving the HFN Japan Index to negative territory for 2011. April was a rare instance of Japan funds be negative on average when the Nikkei rises. This happened only three other times in the last five years. In every previous occasion Nikkei bouncing off of a huge loss.

Monthly access Flow estimates
• Estimated Total hedge fund assets at the end of April 2011 was $ 2607 billion, an increase of 2.26%, or 57.6 billion dollars from March.
• Performance accounted for an increase of 41.2 billion dollars and investors accounted for a net inflow of 16.5 billion dollars.
• The merged core (% access change due to investor funding/redemption) growth 0,65%, an increase from March, and over the last 12 month average.
• Total the notorious AUM is now 13% over the historic high set in the second quarter of 2008.

Net flow information, investors continue to show interest to invest directly into hedge funds. April inflow showed the tenth straight month of net appropriation and the Central growth was the second largest in 2011. The average growth over the past 12 months is 0.40%

Some sector specific feeds
• Japan fund investors flow data has been mixed, but the majority of the data reported to the HFN specify more funds were net investor inflows in April than the outflows.
• Commodity, credit arbitrage and macro strategies had the highest proportion of allocations in April. Emerging markets, market neutral equity and multi-strategy Fund information net redemptions.
• Managers located in developed Europe had the highest proportion of allocations in April followed by Asia, then North America.
• Funds with Europe as an investment region had also positive investor flows in April while they focused on Latin America and emerging Europe had net outflows.
Performance Review
Fixed income (FI) strategies
• The average return of all fixed income focused strategies was + 0.93% in April and + 3.30% this year.
• Distressed credit funds performed best in April, + 1.77% and mortgage funds continued to post positive return, + 1.39%.
• Fixed Income Fund's assets increased 1.84% in April to an estimated 684.8 billion dollars. Investors to NET $ 5.7 billion during the month.

Equity capital (EQ) strategies
• The average return of all equity focused strategies was + 1.11% in April and + 2.60% YTD.
• Funds investment in the health sector shares had the best return, + 4.60%, followed by those who invest in technology stocks, + 1.61%. Financial sector medium-low, but were positive, + 0.66%
• Equity assets increased approximately 2.72% to 858.6 billion dollars in April. Investors allocated NET 8,4 billion dollars during the month. a sharp increase from March.

Commodity and foreign exchange (FX) related strategies
• Broad natural resource commodity strategies was + 3.08% in April and + 3.56% YTD.
• Funds that invest in FX markets had its best month in more than four years, + 2.67%, and is + 1.61% YTD
• Funds focusing on metals markets are carried out, + 2.82%, as well as energy commodity funds (not EQ energy sector), + 2.20%. AGRI-focused funds lagged, + 0.18%, with relatively volatile return of fund performance.

Summary analysis
Investors ' interest in April continued to be above the 2010 rates, which has been the case in each of the first four months of 2011, proof that the big investors continue to increase funding for industry despite the performance is equity markets. With can come to a close and equity markets as broadly lower, it turns out that at least one month of the year in industry will surpass. Long/short equity strategies have lagged the S & P of the monthly average of 156 points this year, an indication of general defence reaction. It is probably for the benefit of multiple strategies in may, but reverse the April the development of a declining US dollar will likely result in lost in the macro and CTA strategies.

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